Rice vs Tulane 11/3/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Rice winning 44% of simulations, and Tulane 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Rice commits fewer turnovers in 38% of simulations and they go on to win 59% when they take care of the ball. Tulane wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Turner Petersen is averaging 48 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (25% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Ryan Griffin is averaging 302 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 71%.
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